Likely effects of climate change on groundwater availability in a Mediterranean region of Southeastern Spain          下载免费PDF全文

Hassane Moutahir  Pau Bellot  Robert Monjo  Juan Bellot  Miguel Garcia  Issam Touhami 《水文研究》2017,31(1):161-176

Groundwater resources are typically the main fresh water source in arid and semi‐arid regions. Natural recharge of aquifers is mainly based on precipitation; however, only heavy precipitation events (HPEs) are expected to produce appreciable aquifer recharge in these environments. In this work, we used daily precipitation and monthly water level time series from different locations over a Mediterranean region of Southeastern Spain to identify the critical threshold value to define HPEs that lead to appreciable aquifer recharge in this region. Wavelet and trend analyses were used to study the changes in the temporal distribution of the chosen HPEs (≥20 mm day^?1) over the observed period 1953–2012 and its projected evolution by using 18 downscaled climate projections over the projected period 2040–2099. The used precipitation time series were grouped in 10 clusters according to similarities between them assessed by using Pearson correlations. Results showed that the critical HPE threshold for the study area is 20 mm day^?1. Wavelet analysis showed that observed significant seasonal and annual peaks in global wavelet spectrum in the first sub‐period (1953–1982) are no longer significant in the second sub‐period (1983–2012) in the major part of the ten clusters. This change is because of the reduction of the mean HPEs number, which showed a negative trend over the observed period in nine clusters and was significant in five of them. However, the mean size of HPEs showed a positive trend in six clusters. A similar tendency of change is expected over the projected period. The expected reduction of the mean HPEs number is two times higher under the high climate scenario (RCP8.5) than under the moderate scenario (RCP4.5). The mean size of these events is expected to increase under the two scenarios. The groundwater availability will be affected by the reduction of HPE number which will increase the length of no aquifer recharge periods (NARP) accentuating the groundwater drought in the region. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Performing a new regional geography     

Gordon Winder  Nick Lewis 《New Zealand geographer》2010,66(2):97-104

In this introduction to the Special Issue ‘Practising a New Regional Geography in Northland’, we call for a new regional geography. We use the experience of a field course to reflect upon the opportunities and challenges associated with doing ‘regional geography’ in the regions, a subdiscipline that has in recent decades been pushed into the backwaters of the discipline. We reinterpret the maxim ‘geography is what geographers do’ in a new way that emphasises pedagogy and research practice. The case of Northland and helping our students to learn experientially about community and environment under the rubric of sustainability allows us to argue the case for a reinterpretation of regional geography in these terms. We position the contributions in this Special Issue in terms of our call.  相似文献   

九龙江河口区现代沉积环境及其物质输运趋势   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

方建勇  陈坚  王爱军  李东义  黄财宾 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》2010,(2)

对九龙江河口区58个表层沉积物样品进行了激光粒度分析,并分别应用系统聚类分析和GSTA模型分析,探讨了研究区的沉积特征、沉积环境和表层沉积物输运趋势。结果表明,九龙江河口区表层沉积物由10种沉积物类型组成,与20世纪80年代相比,该海区底质沉积物在类型分布和粒径粗细上发生了一定的变化;将研究区划分为3种与沉积动力特征相对应的主要沉积环境区;表层沉积物输运趋势因受该区特殊的地形和复杂的水动力条件影响而表现为北进南出,海门岛西北海域形成逆时针方向输运趋势,而海门岛以东海域形成三向汇聚的输运趋势。  相似文献   

Ensemble rainfall forecasting with numerical weather prediction and radar‐based nowcasting models     

Shan He  Srivatsan V. Raghavan  Ngoc Son Nguyen  Shie‐Yui Liong 《水文研究》2013,27(11):1560-1571

The overall objective of this study is to improve the forecasting accuracy of the precipitation in the Singapore region by means of both rainfall forecasting and nowcasting. Numerical Weather Predication (NWP) and radar‐based rainfall nowcasting are two important sources for quantitative precipitation forecast. In this paper, an attempt to combine rainfall prediction from a high‐resolution mesoscale weather model and a radar‐based rainfall model was performed. Two rainfall forecasting methods were selected and examined: (i) the weather research and forecasting model (WRF); and (ii) a translation model (TM). The WRF model, at a high spatial resolution, was run over the domain of interest using the Global Forecast System data as initializing fields. Some heavy rainfall events were selected from data record and used to test the forecast capability of WRF and TM. Results obtained from TM and WRF were then combined together to form an ensemble rainfall forecasting model, by assigning weights of 0.7 and 0.3 weights to TM and WRF, respectively. This paper presented results from WRF and TM, and the resulting ensemble rainfall forecasting; comparisons with station data were conducted as well. It was shown that results from WRF are very useful as advisory of anticipated heavy rainfall events, whereas those from TM, which used information of rain cells already appearing on the radar screen, were more accurate for rainfall nowcasting as expected. The ensemble rainfall forecasting compares reasonably well with the station observation data. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Extreme storms in Malmö, Sweden     

Lars Bengtsson  Stefan Milloti 《水文研究》2010,24(24):3462-3475

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GIS专业"空间数据库"课程教学内容研究与实践     

闫金凤 《测绘工程》2010,19(6):75-78

随着空间数据库技术的飞速发展,其在众多学科领域的重要性日益突出。地理信息系统专业迫切需要进行＂空间数据＂库课程体系、教学内容和实验内容等方面的教学改革。结合教学实际需求,总结多年的教学经验,将理论与实践相结合进行＂空间数据库＂课程教学内容研究,并简述具体的实施过程。  相似文献   

基于稀少控制点的SPOT5卫星立体条带影像的生产应用研究     

郑福海  王铁军  袁晓宏 《测绘软科学研究》2010,(1):84-87

随着相关技术的发展，高分辨率卫星遥感影像在测绘产品生产中的应用越来越广泛和深入。本文主要通过西部无图区测图的应用实践，讨论利用有理多项式方法、基于稀少控制点纠正的SPOT5HRS立体条带影像的测图生产情况，并对DLG、DEM等产品进行精度检测；同时与传统的航摄方法进行对比，分析其生产效率等情况。  相似文献   

青海省主体功能区规划研究     

孙厚科  杨鸿海  王苑 《地理空间信息》2010,8(4):32-34

主体功能区规划是优化国土开发格局,推动区域协调发展的一项重大战略决策。根据《国务院关于编制主体功能区规划的意见》和国家《省级主体功能区划分技术规程》的总体要求,利用遥感、地理信息系统等空间分析技术和手段,以及专家咨询等方法,对全省的国土空间进行综合分析评价,提出主体功能区试划方案,进而为编制全省主体功能区规划奠定科学基础。  相似文献   

台湾海峡西南部海域春季悬浮体及沉积物来源与输运机制   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

王爱军  陈坚  叶翔  黄财宾  汪卫国  赖志坤  胡毅  李云海 《海洋学报》2010,32(6):130-143

台湾海峡作为连接东海和南海的重要通道,其悬浮体和沉积物的来源和输运格局非常复杂。2005年4~5月利用带有浊度传感器和荧光传感器的SD204型CTD对台湾海峡西南部海域627个站位的悬浮体特性进行了综合调查,并采集了底层沉积物。在室内分别利用英国Marlvern公司生产的Mastersizer 2000型激光粒度仪和德国ELEMENTOR公司生产的ELEMENTOR varioELIII型元素分析仪对表层沉积物进行了粒度分析和沉积物碳、氮含量测定,结果表明,台湾海峡西南部海域春季受粤东沿岸流、韩江冲淡水、九龙江冲淡水及台湾海峡混合水影响,其中粤东沿岸流在向北输运过程中影响强度逐渐减弱,韩江冲淡水影响范围较大,并且在西南季风的控制下向东北方向输运;长时间尺度的沉积物输运格局表明,近岸沉积物由岸向海输运,远海地区沉积物由海向岸输运,并且在汕尾南部海域、南澳岛东南部海域形成了沉积物的汇聚区,沉积物以陆源为主;表层沉积物的输运过程受控于区域内水团、悬浮体分布及运动格局;在春季上升流形成早期尽管叶绿素荧光值相对较低,但其对表层沉积物的输运过程起着非常重要的控制作用。  相似文献   

Application of participatory principles to investigation of the natural world: An example from Chile     

Sarah Schumann 《Marine Policy》2010

Participatory research in environmental and natural resources-related fields is premised on many of the same notions that underlie participatory processes in decision making. This study examines one instance of participatory research to assess the extent to which the documented benefits of participatory decision-making hold up in the context of research. A survey of Chilean shell-fishers engaged in research with marine biologists assesses the relationships between four variables: fishers’ participation in research, fishers’ opinions of biologists, fishers’ trust in biologists, and fishers’ acquisition of knowledge from biologists. Results illuminate the multidimensionality of these variables and suggest that complex interrelationships between them make the benefits of participatory research more nuanced than those reported for participatory decision-making. For instance, participatory research may provide low benefits when participatory research outcomes differ little from those produced solely by scientists. In addition, high-cost scenarios may result when outcomes of participatory research are inferior to those produced solely by scientists. A third downside may result when participation leads participants to increase their deference to scientific knowledge, thereby defeating the corroborative purpose of their participation. A fourth effect may occur when increased trust by in scientists results from participation, decreasing participants’ perceived need to take part in research.  相似文献